Prediction Iceland - Luxembourg today 00:00 17/11/2026.

UEFA Nations League
Iceland

Iceland

17:00 - 16/11
Luxembourg

Luxembourg

HDP FT
Iceland
Luxembourg
Opening
-1.5
+1.5
Pre-match
-1.5
+1.5
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2.75
u
Pre-match
2.75
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

IcelandIceland
Positive50%
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Iceland scored a total of 15 goals in the last 10 matches, showing an average attacking efficiency of 1.5 goals per game and the ability to exert continuous pressure.
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Iceland maintains acceptable discipline, with 22 yellow cards in the last 10 matches and no red cards, demonstrating good emotional control.
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Iceland's major victories (e.g., 5-0, 3-0) in the last 10 matches demonstrate their ability to fully exploit opponents' weaknesses when they are in good form.
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Iceland maintains high stability with 6 core players who have a high rock frequency in the last 5 matches. The defense axis is solid with Daniel Leo Gretarsson (4/5 matches) and the support of Victor Pálsson, Stefán Teitur Thórdarson.
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Iceland's midfield is anchored by Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (5/5 matches), who has the ability to cover wide areas and contributed 13 tackles, alongside Hákon Arnar Haraldsson (8 assists).
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Iceland's attacking power comes from Andri Guðjohnsen (5 goals, 8 key passes) and Orri Steinn Óskarsson (4 goals), both of whom maintained a high starting frequency (5/5 and 4/5 matches).
Neutral35%
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Iceland has shown very inconsistent form in the last 10 matches; they can deliver strong performances when their morale is high, but they are also vulnerable against high-attacking teams.
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The Icelandic defense has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 10 matches, which is a positive defensive statistic, but it also shows they are susceptible to being breached when facing high-intensity opponents.
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The absence of Andri Fannar Baldursson and Mikael Anderson is considered insignificant because they are reserve/rotational players, and their absence does not compromise the stability of the core players ready to compete.
Negative15%
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Iceland tends to operate in cycles of major victories interspersed with tougher matches, suggesting that their stability relies more on capitalizing on significant advantages than on maintaining consistently high form over the last 10 games.
LuxembourgLuxembourg
Positive30%
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Luxembourg's defensive ability is noted with 3 clean sheets in the last 10 matches; however, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per game is an area that needs improvement.
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Luxembourg relies heavily on six key players, with the high consistency of pillars such as Florian Bohnert (432 minutes played all season) and Anthony Moris, forming a stable defensive backbone.
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Luxembourg has utilized a primary tactical formation of 4-1-4-1 over the last 10 matches, demonstrating stability but also suggesting predictability in their approach.
Neutral25%
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Offensively, Luxembourg has scored a total of 8 goals and has an Over 2.5 rate of only 30.0% in the last 10 matches, suggesting a lack of dynamic chance creation.
Negative45%
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Luxembourg has shown clear instability over the last 10 matches, transitioning from historical victories to a recent streak of four consecutive defeats.
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Luxembourg received a total of 27 yellow cards in the last 10 matches, averaging 2.7 cards per game, suggesting the team frequently operates under pressure and high disciplinary risk.
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The absence of Aiman Dardari due to a muscle tear injury is the biggest loss, forcing Luxembourg to restructure its attack and affecting its ability to apply pressure in the 16.50m area.
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The loss of key striker Aiman Dardari will place significant pressure on other pillars, such as Vincent Thill and Hamza Kadamani, to take on additional roles in frontline playmaking.
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Luxembourg's current standing is 3 points after 5 matches, with a PPG of 0.6, suggesting difficulty in maintaining points throughout the tournament.
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Luxembourg's net goal difference for the season is -6 (2 scored, 8 conceded), reflecting a significant gap between their attacking capability and defensive stability.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Iceland's structured play and sharp counter-attacking ability will exploit tactical weaknesses, helping them overcome Luxembourg's physical effort in a difficult encounter.
Prediction for the match between Iceland and Luxembourg is 1-0.
Expert Prediction:
Luxembourg+1.50 @1.83