Prediction Norway - Wales today 00:00 15/11/2026.

UEFA Nations League
Norway

Norway

17:00 - 14/11
Wales

Wales

HDP FT
Norway
Wales
Opening
-1.75
+1.75
Pre-match
-2
+2
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
3.25
u
Pre-match
3.25
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

NorwayNorway
Positive40%
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Norway's attack has been highly effective, scoring 19 goals in the last 10 matches (averaging 1.9 goals per game), which indicates a strong ability to create opportunities.
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Norway's attacking framework is clearly established with Erling Haaland as a primary threat (3 goals, 9 shots on target for the season), supported by Martin Odegaard's playmaking ability and tempo control (11 key passes, 4 assists).
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Norway's defensive stability comes from Kristoffer Ajer (21 times dislodging, 16 times winning duels) and the reliable central midfield pairing of Sander Berge and Fredrik Aursnes, who started nearly all of their recent matches (4/4).
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Norway has favored a 4-3-3 formation in the last four matches, indicating a strategy focused on maximizing width and utilizing wingers such as Antonio Nusa.
Neutral30%
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Norway consistently plays open matches, with a 100.0% rate of games having three or more goals and 100.0% of games featuring both teams scoring in the last 10 matches.
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Norway averages 4.7 corners per match over the last 10 matches, indicating a consistent ability to generate pressure from set-piece situations.
Negative30%
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Norway has a 50.0% win rate (5 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses) in the last 10 matches, indicating clear instability in its match results.
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Over the last 10 matches, Norway has suffered a streak of three consecutive losses, signaling a lack of consistency and struggling to maintain momentum.
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Norway's defense is a clear weakness, having conceded 19 goals in the last 10 matches (averaging 1.9 goals per game) and failing to secure a single clean sheet.
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In terms of discipline, Norway has accumulated a total of 7 yellow cards and 2 red cards in the last 10 matches, indicating that the team frequently faces intense physical confrontations.
WalesWales
Positive35%
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Wales scored a total of 14 goals over the last 10 matches, showing an average of 1.4 goals per game, which is acceptable offensively.
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Wales's Both Teams To Score (BTTS) rate reached 60% in the last 10 matches, indicating that the team frequently participates in open matches.
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Wales's defensive strength is having kept 1 clean sheet in the last 10 rounds, demonstrating successful defensive organization at crucial moments.
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Wales has exerted significant pressure with an average of 5.9 corners per game in the last 10 matches, demonstrating its ability to control the game flow and create opportunities from set pieces.
Neutral20%
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Wales has shown high variability over the last 10 matches; they possess the potential for explosive attacks against weaker opponents but lack stability when facing teams with well-organized defenses.
Negative45%
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Wales has conceded 11 goals over the last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals per game, suggesting that the defense still has many weaknesses that need addressing.
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Wales' accumulation of 15 yellow cards in the last 10 matches indicates a highly aggressive style of play, but it also raises disciplinary concerns that need better management.
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Finishing third with 3 points after 4 matches (as of the current stage of the season) suggests that Wales are contenders for the Play-offs, but the goal difference of (-3) signals defensive inconsistency throughout the tournament.
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Wales' cumulative Clean Sheet (CS) rate for the season is 0.00%, indicating serious defensive instability, despite an average goal scoring rate of 1.75 goals per game, which suggests high attacking capability.
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Wales' current PPG index is 0.75, which is significantly lower than the season's Expected Performance of 1.5, indicating that the actual performance is lagging behind the mathematical expectation.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Despite Wales having solid tactical organization, Norway will capitalize on the opposition's defensive instability and explosive attacking energy, overcoming all challenges to secure the full three dramatic points.
Prediction for the match between Norway and Wales is 1-0.
Expert Prediction:
Wales+2.00 @1.86