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Prediction Estonia - Bulgaria today 00:00 17/11/2026.

UEFA Nations League
Estonia

Estonia

17:00 - 16/11
Bulgaria

Bulgaria

HDP FT
Estonia
Bulgaria
Opening
-0.25
+0.25
Pre-match
-0.25
+0.25
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2
u
Pre-match
2
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

EstoniaEstonia
Positive67%
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Estonia demonstrated good form in the last three matches (Win, Draw, Win), suggesting strong adaptability under high competitive pressure.
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Estonia has kept 6 clean sheets in its last 10 matches, demonstrating strong tactical discipline and highly reliable defensive organization.
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Estonia's average of 0.6 goals conceded per game over the last 10 matches shows they are a very difficult team to break down.
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Estonia has maintained an average of 4.0 corner kicks per game over the last 10 matches, indicating a strong ability to build pressure and capitalize on set pieces.
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Estonia's defensive structure is very stable, anchored by Maksim Paskotsi (5/5 recent matches), with Michael Schjonning-Larsen and Rasmus Peetson ensuring discipline and space coverage.
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Kevor Palumets is the tempo regulator for Estonia, boasting 12 stabilizing actions and 6 assists (accumulated throughout the season), making him excellent for transition play.
Neutral33%
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Estonia achieved a 50.0% win rate (5 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss) over the last 10 matches, showing an ability to maintain positive results but lacking high breakthrough capability.
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Estonia averages 1.0 goals per match over the last 10 games, demonstrating a pragmatic attacking style that focuses on effective counterattacks.
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With a 30% rate of Both Teams To Score (BTTS) and only 10.0% of matches having 3 or more goals in the last 10 games, this confirms a cautious playing style.
BulgariaBulgaria
Positive40%
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Bulgaria demonstrated positive momentum in the last three matches, including victories against Indonesia (1-0) and Georgia (2-1), showing a recovery in competitive spirit.
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Bulgaria's offensive capability is demonstrated by scoring a total of 18 goals in the last 10 matches (averaging 1.8 goals per game), indicating explosive scoring potential.
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Bulgaria has actively sought opportunities from the flanks, averaging 3.6 corner kicks per match in the last 10 games, demonstrating a focus on wing play.
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Daniel Naumov's (Goalkeeper) stability is a crucial defensive anchor for Bulgaria; having started in all of his last five matches, he provides great confidence to the backline.
Neutral20%
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Bulgaria's Over 2.5 rate (matches with 3 or more goals) reached 60.0% over 10 games, indicating that their matches tend to be open and dramatic.
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Rosen Bozhinov's (Defender) absence due to an undisclosed injury does not affect Bulgaria's main squad, as he belongs to the reserve/rotation group.
Negative40%
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In their last 10 matches, Bulgaria has experienced a slump, recording 3 losses and 2 draws, which points to a lack of consistency in their results.
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Bulgaria's defense has shown instability, having conceded 16 goals in the last 10 matches (averaging 1.6 goals per game), which is a weakness that needs to be addressed.
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Receiving a total of 21 yellow cards in the last 10 matches indicates that Bulgaria is frequently drawn into tactical skirmishes, requiring improved discipline.
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Bulgaria's goal difference of -7 across the matches highlights an inefficiency in converting opportunities into actual points throughout the season.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Statistics

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Despite Bulgaria showing a strong fighting spirit, Estonia's discipline and solid defensive system will help them control the tempo of the match and capitalize on opportunities, leading to a narrow victory.
Prediction for the match between Estonia and Bulgaria is 2-1.
Expert Prediction:
Over2.00 @1.94

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