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Prediction Ethiopia - Mozambique today 20:00 17/11/2026.

CAF Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia

Ethiopia

13:00 - 17/11
Mozambique

Mozambique

HDP FT
Ethiopia
Mozambique
Opening
+0.25
-0.25
Pre-match
0
0
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2
u
Pre-match
2
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

EthiopiaEthiopia
Positive40%
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Ethiopia has demonstrated reliable defensive capability in the last 10 matches, keeping clean sheets in 5 out of 10 games with an average conceded rate of 0.8 goals per match.
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Ethiopia demonstrated high tactical flexibility by rotating three formations (4-3-3, 4-2-3-1, 4-4-2) in the last three matches, indicating strong adaptability against various types of opponents.
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Midfielders Gathouch Panom and Canaan Markneh are stabilizing forces for Ethiopia, with accumulated key passes (6 and 3) that help maintain the tempo of the match.
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The Ethiopian defense has shown rotation, with Alelegn Muluneh, Bereket Samuel, and S Yohanes all starting in the last third of matches, in addition to Melkamu Bogale's accumulated defensive statistics (9 clean sheets).
Neutral30%
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Ethiopia has shown noticeable form fluctuation over the last 10 matches, with winning streaks that demonstrate explosive potential but are also easily interrupted.
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Ethiopia's attacking capability over the last 10 matches is pragmatic, averaging 0.9 goals per game, suggesting a playstyle focused on defensive counter-attacks.
Negative30%
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Receiving 11 yellow cards in the last 10 matches suggests that Ethiopia frequently finds itself in situations where it must commit tactical fouls during high-pressure matches.
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Throughout the tournament, Ethiopia's goal difference is -1 (1 goal scored, 2 goals conceded), indicating a defensive imbalance that needs improvement.
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Ethiopia's attacking efficiency recorded a 66.67% False Shot to Goal (FTS) rate this season, warning of difficulties in converting chances into goals.
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Ethiopia's Loss without scoring rate (LTN) stood at 66.67% this season, suggesting that the team is easily exploited and concedes many goals when they lose.
MozambiqueMozambique
Positive40%
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Mozambique shows strong scoring capability when attacking, demonstrated by their 4-1 victory over Sudan and a total of 11 goals in the last 10 matches.
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Mozambique is in ideal personnel condition, with no recorded injuries or suspensions, allowing the entire team to deploy tactics without worrying about the absence of key players.
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Mozambique's back four displayed high consistency over the last three matches, with Bruno Langa standing out with 22 winning tackles, while Edmilson Dove and Bruno Wilson maintained good coordination in tackling and dispossessing metrics.
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The attacking focus of Mozambique is the trio Geny Catamo, Witiness Quembo, and Faisal Bangal. Geny Catamo is a reliable playmaker with 4 Key passes and 1 goal scored throughout the season.
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Mozambique has maintained tactical consistency with the 4-2-3-1 formation in its last 10 matches, indicating that the team prioritizes order and tactical discipline.
Neutral25%
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Mozambique has shown significant fluctuation in form over the last 10 matches, possessing explosive attacking potential but lacking overall stability.
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In terms of discipline, Mozambique has maintained an average of 1.0 yellow card per game in the last 10 matches, indicating a disciplined effort but requiring improvement in positioning.
Negative35%
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Mozambique's defense is facing serious issues, having conceded 21 goals in the last 10 matches, which suggests significant vulnerability.
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Mozambique has struggled to maintain defensive stability, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of its last 10 matches.
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Mozambique's defense showed clear instability, with a Clean Sheet (CS) rate of 0.00% over the entire season, which is a weakness that needs addressing.
Player Info

Injured

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National duty

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Statistics

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Although Mozambique possesses explosive attacking power, Ethiopia's experience and physical defensive discipline will be key. Ethiopia is capable of organizing a counterattack, helping them secure a difficult victory by a narrow margin.
Prediction for the match between Ethiopia and Mozambique is 2-1.
Expert Prediction:
Over2.00 @1.84

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