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Prediction Wales - Norway today 01:45 02/10/2026.

UEFA Nations League
Wales

Wales

21:11FT
Norway

Norway

HDP FT
Wales
Norway
Opening
+0.5
-0.5
Pre-match
0
0
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2.75
u
Pre-match
3.5
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

WalesWales
Positive30%
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Wales has a stable starting lineup with key players such as goalkeeper Danny Ward, defenders Neco Williams and Ben Davies, midfielder Ethan Ampadu, and forwards Daniel James and Kieffer Moore, who have been consistently playing and maintaining an important role in both defense and attack.
Neutral20%
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Wales is experimenting with multiple tactical formations, including both 4-2-3-1 and 4-4-2, showing flexibility in team setup
Negative50%
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Wales is going through an unstable phase with 5 losses in their last 10 matches, including heavy defeats such as 0-1 to Liechtenstein, 2-4 to Belgium, and 0-3 to England. The defense has been weak, conceding 16 goals (1.6 per game) and keeping a clean sheet only once.
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Within the UEFA Nations League 2026-2027, Wales has not earned any points after 2 matches, scoring 0 goals and conceding 3, causing Wales to be in 4th place with the risk of relegation.
NorwayNorway
Positive40%
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Norway is showcasing impressive attacking performance with an average goal-scoring rate of 2.1 per game, with 50% of matches featuring three or more goals, evidenced by emphatic victories such as Norway 3-2 Denmark and Norway 3-1 Sweden.
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Erling Haaland (scored 3 goals in his last 2 matches) and Martin Odegaard (created 2 goals) are maintaining a stable performance, serving as a crucial pillar for the team's comprehensive playing style.
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The 4-3-3 formation has been consistently applied, with the defensive line consisting of players such as Kristoffer Ajer and Torbjørn Heggem (a total of 12 matches) ensuring stability over 180 minutes of consecutive play
Neutral30%
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Norway currently holds the 2nd position in the standings with 3 points after 2 matches, reflecting a balance between wins and losses, despite a goal difference of 0 (scored 4, conceded 4).
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Norway is maintaining a moderate performance with an average points per game (PPG) of 1.5, indicating good competitiveness in the tournament standings, although not showing clear superiority.
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The 4-3-3 tactical formation is stable but lacks the flexibility to adapt, especially when the opponent commits a serious foul, causing the team to become distracted and lose control of the game situation.
Negative30%
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Norway's defense has many gaps, with 17 goals conceded in the last 10 matches (1.7 per game) and has not kept a clean sheet in any match, clearly demonstrated by the heavy 1-4 defeat against France in the 2026 World Cup
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Norway is vulnerable to counterattacks, especially in the second half, as when they conceded two goals to England in the 2026 World Cup match, showing a lack of focus and discipline in defensive situations.
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The reserve team lacks experience and diversity, with players such as David Moller Wolfe and Leo Østigård not having demonstrated prominent roles, increasing the risk of injury in the defense line.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Statistics

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Wales is unstable with a weak defense; Norway attacks strongly but has a thin defense. The balance of strengths and weaknesses makes the match likely to end in a draw.
Prediction for the match between Wales and Norway is 1-1.
Expert Prediction:
Wales+1.25 @1.83

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