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Prediction Italy - France today 02:45 13/11/2026.

UEFA Nations League
Italy

Italy

31:11FT
France

France

HDP FT
Italy
France
Opening
+0.75
-0.75
Pre-match
+0.5
-0.5
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
3
u
Pre-match
2.75
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

ItalyItaly
Positive40%
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Ý possesses superior attacking power, evidenced by scoring a total of 16 goals in the last 10 matches, including a particularly impressive 4-1 victory against Turkey.
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In terms of personnel, Italy has a stable core structure with the continuous presence of key pillars like Sandro Tonali and Davide Frattesi, ensuring a solid tactical foundation.
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The team's depth is also evident thanks to the rotating bench players, which helps the team maintain high form over many consecutive matches.
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Statistically, Italy is holding a stable position in 2nd place in the Play Offs and has an average points per game (PPG) of 1.75.
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This means a team with an extremely strong attacking tendency, capable of consistently creating high-octane matches, demonstrated by a Both Teams to Score rate of 75%.
Neutral35%
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Ý has demonstrated high adaptability through a recent series of mixed results, showing flexibility in adjusting tactics.
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Tactically, Italy consistently deployed a 4-3-3 formation, demonstrating confidence and structure in their playstyle.
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Ý has an average of 5.8 corners per match, indicating a consistent ability to participate in and control the opponent's attacking area.
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Yi possesses a high attacking capability, frequently producing high-scoring matches, with Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 rates reaching 50%.
Negative25%
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Italy's overall form is assessed as unstable, evident in significant defeats such as the 1-4 loss against Norway and the 0-2 loss against Belgium.
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Italy's defense remains problematic and vulnerable, as demonstrated by the absence of clean sheets in recent matches.
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Ý has accumulated a total of 18 yellow cards and 2 red cards in the last 10 matches, suggesting a lack of discipline and incurring cards when under pressure.
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The significant loss of strength was due to Luca Koleosho's Dead Leg injury, which reduced the diversity and power of the forward line.
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Italy's biggest weakness is their defense, demonstrated by conceding 5 goals in only 4 recent matches.
FranceFrance
Positive40%
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France boasts powerful attacking firepower, with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match and dominant victories over opponents.
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France's stability and competitive prowess were confirmed by their undefeated record in the tournament's quarter-finals.
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Pháp demonstrates excellent control over dangerous areas against opponents, as evidenced by maintaining a significant clean sheet rate.
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In terms of personnel, Michael Olise is a standout attacker, serving as a reliable source of creativity and goals for the team.
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Désiré Doue is a well-rounded player, contributing not only to his scoring ability but also demonstrating high defensive stats through tackles and winning challenges.
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France has established a very consistent and stable tactical system when applying the 4-3-3 formation in recent matches.
Neutral35%
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France has demonstrated excellent tactical adaptability, helping the team recapture its winning form after significant defeats in the previous stage.
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Statistically, France has maintained a relatively stable level of discipline, with controlled card counts in recent matches.
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The balance in France's two fronts is noteworthy, as they not only boast a high scoring rate but also maintain a certain clean sheet ratio.
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The elevated PPI and Ratio metrics confirm that France is operating at a high level of stability compared to the tournament's expectations.
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France's core squad includes players such as Adrien Rabiot, Eduardo Camavinga, and Ousmane Dembélé, who provide a stable foundation for the team.
Negative25%
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France is vulnerable to opponents capable of sustained, concentrated attacks, which has exposed significant defensive weaknesses in major matches.
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France's squad is considered seriously weakened due to the simultaneous absence of many key players in both the defense and midfield.
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The absence of key defenders such as Maxence Lacroix and Jules Koundé has dealt a crippling blow, directly threatening the stability of the defensive line.
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The loss of midfielders like Manu Koné and forwards like Ousmane Dembélé has disrupted the balance and depth of both the midfield and the attacking line.
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Over-reliance on a single tactical formation, the 4-3-3, suggests that France's current tactical versatility is very low.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Statistics

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Despite France's superior attacking prowess, Italy's resilience and disciplined defensive counter-attacks will hold the pace, turning the confrontation into a grueling, indecisive struggle.
Prediction for the match between Italy and France is 1-1.
Expert Prediction:
Under3.00 @1.84

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