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Prediction Queretaro FC - Toluca today 10:10 22/08/2026.

Mexico Liga MX
Queretaro FC

Queretaro FC

10:02FT
Toluca

Toluca

HDP FT
Queretaro FC
Toluca
Opening
+0.5
-0.5
Pre-match
0
0
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
3
u
Pre-match
3.5
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

Queretaro FCQueretaro FC
Positive35%
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Queretaro FC demonstrated decisive playing ability in major matches, such as their victory over Tigres UANL (3-2) and Pachuca (2-1), showcasing confidence and composure when facing strong opponents.
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Queretaro FC maintained a balanced game in draws such as Pumas U.N.A.M. 0-0 and Los Angeles FC 1-1, reflecting the stability in their playstyle
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Goalkeeper Guillermo Allison is the only mainstay to have played all four recent matches, with stable defensive stats (16 successful duels, 3 clearances), serving as a crucial pillar for the team formation.
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The defensive line consisting of Diego Reyes, Lucas Abascia, Daniel Parra, and Bayron Duarte played consistently, with a total of 50 tackles and 72 successful duels (an average of 18 per game), forming a fairly solid defensive foundation.
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Forward Ali Ávila played all four recent matches, scored 3 goals (average 0.75 per game) and had 6 shots on target, being a bright spot in the finishing aspect
Neutral30%
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Queretaro FC is in 8th place in Liga MX for the 2026-2027 season, participating in the playoff quarter-finals, showing a high level of competition but still has room to improve their performance.
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Queretaro FC has a high average goal ratio (2.25 goals per game) and the 'Over 0.5 goals' (Tài) rate achieves 75%, indicating a proactive attacking style but not enough to maintain stable results
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The 4-2-3-1 tactical formation has been continuously applied in the last 4 matches, bringing stability but also limiting flexibility when facing an overwhelming opponent
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The team's goal difference is +1 (scored 5, conceded 4), indicating a balance between attack and defense, but there is still room for improvement in terms of clean sheet ability.
Negative35%
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Queretaro FC has experienced an unstable phase with inconsistent results (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last 4 games), reflecting instability in both their performance and playing style.
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Weak defense, conceded 13 goals (an average of 1.3 per game) in their last 10 matches, with only 2 clean sheets (a draw against Pumas U.N.A.M. and a win against Austin FC)
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Poor match discipline, with 24 yellow cards (an average of 2.4 per game), especially in the matches against Tigres UANL (6 yellow cards) and Club America (6 yellow cards), indicates a lack of focus and technical play.
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The team's reliance on the "backbone" starting XI (last four matches) makes Queretaro FC vulnerable if key players get injured, especially with a lack of quality replacement options in the attacking line.
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Lack of flexibility in tactics, with the fixed 4-2-3-1 formation, could become a weakness if the opponent dominates and effectively controls the game situation
TolucaToluca
Positive35%
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Toluca demonstrated consistent attacking performance with an average goal-scoring rate of 1.6 goals per game, including two clean sheets (a 3-0 victory over Seattle Sounders and a 0-0 draw against Atlante FC), showing the effectiveness of their attacking plays.
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The lineup remains stable with key players such as Luis García (goalkeeper), Jorge Diaz (midfielder), Jesus Angulo (midfielder), and Everardo Lopez (defender), who have been playing continuously, creating cohesion in their playing style.
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Toluca controls the game well with an average of 5.6 corners per match, especially in their 3-0 victory over Seattle Sounders, where they had as many as 12 corners, demonstrating their dominance in set pieces.
Neutral30%
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Toluca is ranked 5th in Liga MX with 7 points from 4 matches, showing an average but not too bad position in the playoff race.
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The overall performance of Toluca is still at an average level, with a mixed sequence of results between wins, draws, and losses in the last 10 matches, having not demonstrated clear consistency.
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Toluca tends to play an open style but has not maintained consistent scoring performance, with the 'Over 2.5 goals' rate only reaching 50% and 'Over 3.5 goals' at 25%, showing inconsistency in their matches.
Negative35%
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Toluca conceded 12 goals in their last 10 matches (an average of 1.2 goals per game), particularly in two heavy defeats (1-3 against Cruz Azul and 1-2 against Pumas U.N.A.M.), reflecting a lack of defensive solidity
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Toluca lacks consistency in matches, with an unstable series of results (Loss - Draw - Loss - Loss - Loss - Win - Win - Loss - Win - Draw) and has not maintained a consistent form.
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Toluca has not improved their ability to keep a clean sheet, with a clean sheet rate of only 50% in the 2026-2027 season, showing reliance on luck in important matches
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Statistics

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Queretaro FC and Toluca are expected to create a tactically balanced match, with Toluca taking the initiative in controlling the game due to their ability to organize the ball and create opportunities through synchronized movements, while Queretaro focuses on tight defense, limiting space for the opponent and using quick counterattacks to apply pressure. Although Toluca possess lineup depth and the ability to create surprises from set pieces, Queretaro can make it difficult for opponents through disciplined play, especially when maintaining focus in defensive situations. Both teams demonstrate diversity in their style of play, but Toluca have an advantage in terms of control and the ability to maintain continuous pressure, while Queretaro rely on the effectiveness of quick transitions and the ability to exploit opponents' mistakes. The difference between the two teams lies in how they handle the ball in control and counterattack situations, with Toluca favoring control, while Queretaro prioritize efficiency in short counterattacks.
Prediction for the match between Queretaro FC and Toluca is 2-1.
Expert Prediction:
Queretaro FC+0.75 @1.80

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  1. Queretaro FCQueretaro FCRayados de MonterreyRayados de MonterreyQueretaro FC and Rayados de Monterrey both possess sharp attacking styles, with Queretaro relying on the individual brilliance of Ali Ávila and Santiago Homenchenko in a 4-2-3-1 formation, while Rayados de Monterrey control the game through the duo of Lucas Ocampos and Diego Rossi, but lack defensive flexibility. Both teams display instability in defense, as Queretaro conceded 7 goals in 6 matches and Rayados conceded 10 goals in 6 matches, creating opportunities for opponents' quick counterattacks. However, Queretaro is overly dependent on individual players, while Rayados lack discipline in defensive counterattack situations, making the match prone to explosive scoring from both sides. The tactical relationship between the two teams revolves around Rayados' ball control and Queretaro's counterattacking ability, but both need to improve their defensive organization to minimize risks from quick transitions. Prediction for the match between Queretaro FC and Rayados de Monterrey is 2-2.
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