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Prediction Portsmouth - Derby County today 01:45 02/09/2026.

English Football League Championship
Portsmouth

Portsmouth

00:12FT
Derby County

Derby County

HDP FT
Portsmouth
Derby County
Opening
0
0
Pre-match
0
0
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2.5
u
Pre-match
2.5
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

PortsmouthPortsmouth
Positive30%
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Portsmouth has a stable starting lineup with a 4-2-3-1 formation maintained throughout the game, which helps Portsmouth create balance between the lines and effectively control the center
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Some key players such as Terry Devlin (scored 1 goal, 1 on-target shot) and Adrian Segecic (2 on-target shots) are demonstrating significant goal-scoring and attacking support abilities, creating opportunities for Portsmouth
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The team has good ball control, with an average of 5.3 corners per game, indicating proactivity in creating opportunities in the opponent's area
Neutral20%
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Portsmouth's performance remains average, with a win rate of only 10% and inconsistent results (alternating between wins, draws, and losses)
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Although the defense has encountered many problems, Portsmouth still maintained match discipline, with only 4 yellow cards received in recent matches, showing focus and emotional control
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The lineup has stability in central positions, with players such as Nicolas Schmid (goalkeeper) and Conor Shaughnessy (defender) maintaining an important role in the defensive system.
Negative50%
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Portsmouth's defense is facing a serious crisis, with 16 goals conceded (an average of 1.6 per game) and has only kept a clean sheet in 2 friendly matches. This highlights the defensive weaknesses and lack of focus during matches.
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Portsmouth's goal-scoring ability is not strong enough, with only 9 goals (an average of 0.9 per game), while all four draws had no goals, reflecting a lack of efficiency in finishing.
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The absence of several key players (Connor Ogilvie, Jacob Farrell, Keshi Anderson, Márk Kosznovszky) is creating a large gap, especially when the substitute players are not of sufficient quality to replace them, reducing Portsmouth's ability to perform consistently.
Derby CountyDerby County
Positive20%
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Derby County has a stable and consistent backbone of players, including defenders such as Sondre Langas, Dion Sanderson, Charlie Taylor, as well as midfielders Lewis Travis, Alex Mowatt, and Bobby Clark, who play a crucial role in both defense and attack.
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Player Bobby Clark scored 1 goal and created 1 assist in recent matches, demonstrating a positive contribution to the team.
Neutral30%
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Derby County is experimenting with flexible tactical formations, including both 4-2-3-1 and 5-3-2, demonstrating adaptability to match situations.
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Some reserve players like Carlton Morris and Sammie Szmodics have the ability to score and create goals, however they have not maintained a regular presence in the starting lineup.
Negative50%
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Derby County is experiencing a crisis in form, with just 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 matches, reflecting a lack of stability and inconsistency in their results.
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Poor goal-scoring and defensive performance, with a conceded goals tally of 17 (1.7 per game) while only scoring 12 goals (1.2 per game), showing helplessness in both attack and defense.
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The lineup is missing key players such as Patrick Agyemang and Rhian Brewster, which has significantly affected the ability to control the game and create scoring opportunities.
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Derby County received 17 yellow cards in their last 10 matches (an average of 1.7 per game), showing poor discipline and frequent mistakes in set-piece situations
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Low ranking position (21st out of 24) after 3 matches, along with a goal difference of -4 (3 goals scored, 7 conceded), demonstrating a lack of effectiveness in both performance and match results
Player Info

Injured

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Suspended

National duty

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Statistics

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Portsmouth is expected to control the game with a high ball possession rate, however, their ultimate effectiveness is poor due to defensive instability, frequently conceding 2 goals per game in recent matches. Derby County will focus on counter-attacking, exploiting the gaps in the opposing defense to create scoring opportunities, a tactic that has shown clear effectiveness with 4 goals from counterattacks in the last 15 games. The difference in expected xG (1.85 for Derby County compared to 1.12 for Portsmouth) reflects Derby County's superior ability to convert chances into goals. While Portsmouth relies on space control, Derby County demonstrates strength through quick movement and tight defensive organization, creating a highly tactical and intense balance between the two teams.
Prediction for the match between Portsmouth and Derby County is 1-2.
Expert Prediction:
Derby County+0.25 @1.88

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