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Prediction Lech Poznan - Thun today 00:00 21/08/2026.

UEFA Europa League
Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

75:00FT
Thun

Thun

HDP FT
Lech Poznan
Thun
Opening
-0.75
+0.75
Pre-match
0
0
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2.5
u
Pre-match
7.5
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

Lech PoznanLech Poznan
Positive50%
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Lech Poznan is experiencing a winning streak with 8 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss in their last 10 matches, demonstrating surprising stability and the ability to maintain high performance across different competitions
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Lech Poznan has an impressive scoring efficiency with an average of 2.6 goals per game, along with a solid defense allowing only 0.8 goals per game, including 5 clean sheets.
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Key players such as Patrick Walemark and Allahyar Sayyadmanesh are directly contributing (goals, assists) and maintaining consistent performance in many matches
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Lech Poznan controls the ball well with an average of 5.7 corners per game, demonstrating the ability to control the match situation and create effective scoring opportunities.
Neutral30%
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Lech Poznan has been operating a fixed tactical system (4-2-3-1) in their last two matches, showing stability but also limiting their ability to adapt flexibly to different opponents.
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Lech Poznan's current goal difference is +3, currently in an average position in the league, but not enough to fully evaluate overall strength due to the limited number of matches played.
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Despite not having a red card in the last 10 games, Lech Poznan has averaged 1.2 yellow cards per game, showing controlled play but still a risk of disciplinary issues.
Negative20%
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The absence of Ali Gholizadeh, a key playmaker forward, could disrupt the 4-2-3-1 system and affect the team's attacking effectiveness
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The current reserve players are not yet capable of replacing the key players in case of injury, causing the team to rely heavily on the core of the starting lineup.
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The 1-4 loss to Aarhus AGF in the UEFA Champions League, despite being the result of a difficult match, still reflects the inefficiency in converting chances into goals against a strong opponent
ThunThun
Positive40%
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Thun demonstrated impressive attacking strength with an average goal-scoring rate of 2.1 goals per game, including a decisive 6-0 victory over Saxon Sports and a 3-0 win against Vikingur Reykjavik, showing their ability to create effective goal-scoring opportunities.
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Thun's starting lineup is stable with key players such as Niklas Steffen, Fabio Fehr, Michael Heule, Valmir Matoshi, Nassim Zoukit, Justin Roth and Brighton Labeau, helping maintain consistent play in the last 10 matches
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Thun advanced from Qualification Round 3 with a 3-0 victory over Vikingur Reykjavik, demonstrating their confident play and ability to secure important results in tense matches
Neutral20%
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Thun is ranked 5th out of 52 in the professional power score ranking with a Power Score of 62.68/100, showing that Thun is in the middle group of the ranking, not too outstanding but also not too weak.
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The ratio of matches with 3 or more goals (Over 2.5) reaches 80% and the ratio of both teams scoring (BTTS) reaches 70%, showing an open playing style but not a standout or negative factor in the analysis
Negative40%
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Thun's form is inconsistent with a win rate of only 30% (3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses) in their last 10 matches, accompanied by a series of inconsistent results such as losing 0-6 to Young Boys and Saxon Sports, indicating a lack of consistency in their performance.
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Weak defensive capability, with 21 goals conceded (an average of 2.1 goals per game), and only 2 out of 10 games without conceding goals, is a major weakness causing Thun to frequently suffer heavy defeats against strong teams such as FC Basel, Young Boys, or Dinamo Zagreb.
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Poor disciplinary record with 19 yellow cards and 1 red card in 10 matches, reflecting a lack of control and violence in the matches, especially in matches against strong opponents
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The lack of quality replacement players for injured players such as Mattias Käit and Genís Montolio has caused the attack and defense to struggle in maintaining performance without key players.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Statistics

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Lech Poznan demonstrate a clear advantage in ball control and defensive organization, averaging 61% ball possession and only 0.8 goals conceded per game, indicating their system operates efficiently and minimizes dangerous spaces. Meanwhile, Thun heavily relies on counter-attacking, with a high goal-scoring rate from fast breaks (2.5 goals per game), but their defense lacks stability (2.1 goals conceded per game), creating a contradiction in their ability to balance attack and defense. The absence of key players like Genís Montolio and Ali Gholizadeh leaves Thun lacking depth in both attacking and defensive areas, while Lech Poznan effectively utilize forwards such as Patrick Walemark and Allahyar Sayyadmanesh to create breakthroughs from controlled situations. Although Lech Poznan tend to dominate possession, Thun's ability to exploit opponents' weaknesses through counterattacks remains a factor that cannot be overlooked in the match scenario.
Prediction for the match between Lech Poznan and Thun is 1-1.
Expert Prediction:
Thun+0.75 @1.90

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