HJK HelsinkiPositive50%
Helsinki is in great form with a high win rate (70% in the last 10 matches), including two decisive victories (11–1 and 5–0), demonstrating stable attacking strength and superior game control.
Helsinki averages 3.5 goals per game (35 goals in 10 games), with 80% of their games having 3 or more goals, demonstrating their sharp attacking style and ability to create opportunities right from the start of the game.
The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) rate reaches 60%, indicating the ability to face strong defenses and create many dangerous situations
Forward Teemu Pukki and midfielder Liam Möller are reliable mainstays, frequently featuring in key matches, bringing consistency to the team's playing style.
Helsinki is ranked 5th in the Finnish league with 25 points after 16 matches, demonstrating a balance between attack and defense, while maintaining an average points per game (1.56) higher than the league average
Neutral30%
Helsinki maintains tactical flexibility, using various formations such as 4-2-3-1, 4-4-2, and 4-3-3 depending on the opposition, but overly frequent changes may impact the consistency of their playing style.
The current goal difference is +7 (27 goals scored, 20 goals conceded), reflecting the balance between attacking and defensive capabilities, but is not enough to confirm absolute superiority
The clean sheet percentage (31.25%) and the percentage of games lost without scoring (25%) indicate a lack of defensive solidity, but still fall within the average of the competition.
Negative20%
Helsinki's defense has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game (15 goals in 10 matches), with two heavy losses (0–4 and 2–0), highlighting defensive instability, especially when facing teams that aren't overly strong
Helsinki received 14 yellow cards and 2 red cards in 10 matches, indicating a lack of discipline in play, which could affect the match results, especially in important matches.
The absence of key players such as Eemil Toivonen (defender) and Antton Nylund (midfielder) creates a big gap in the defense and midfield, causing the lineup to be weakened and lose stability
Recent form has been inconsistent, with a sequence of results WLLWD (win, loss, loss, win, draw) in the last five matches, reflecting a lack of composure in crucial matches
The percentage of matches lost without scoring a goal (25%) and the clean sheet percentage (31.25%) indicate a defensive capability prone to errors, especially when the opponent controls the game
TPS TurkuPositive30%
TPS Turku has a stable goal-scoring ability when keeping their form, such as the 3-0 victory over AC Oulu and 3-2 over Jaro, showing notable attacking potential
TPS Turku has kept a clean sheet in 3 out of their last 10 matches, including a 3-0 win against AC Oulu and a 1-0 win against Vaasa VPS, reflecting a significant improvement in defense due to discipline.
Goalkeeper Elmo Henriksson participated in all 10 matches, demonstrating stability and reliability in the goal area, being an important pillar of the team.
Neutral30%
TPS Turku is ranked 8th in the tournament with 22 points after 16 matches, showing a mid-table position but still has a chance to improve if they maintain consistent performance.
TPS Turku has used the 4-2-3-1 formation in 7 out of 10 recent matches, demonstrating tactical consistency, despite no major changes when facing strong opponents.
Players like Oscar Häggström, Matej Hradecky, and Timo Zaal regularly feature in the starting lineup, bringing stability to the playing style and showing no clear signs of decline.
Negative40%
TPS Turku has experienced an unstable period with a results sequence of L-L-W-L-L-D-W-L-W-L in their last 10 matches, only securing 3 wins and losing 6 matches, with a win rate of only 30%
The team's defense conceded 14 goals in 10 matches, an average of 1.4 goals per match, indicating a lack of solidity and numerous defensive errors, especially when facing strong opponents.
TPS Turku received a total of 15 yellow cards and 1 red card in 10 matches, reflecting poor discipline and numerous dangerous fouls, directly affecting the match outcomes.
The absence of Theodoros Tsirigotis (striker) in the last 8 games has been a major loss, causing TPS Turku to rely too much on Albijon Muzaci, posing a risk if the opponent focuses heavily on this striker
Injured
Doubtful
Suspended
National duty
Other
Helsinki demonstrated clear dominance in ball control and attacking explosiveness, boasting superior average goal-scoring efficiency compared to their opponent, while the defense of TPS Turku showed worrying gaps against active pressing. Helsinki's style of play relies on controlling the match tempo and the speed of converting chances into goals, whereas TPS Turku, despite its dynamism in counter-attacks, lacks stability in the back line to cope with pressure from the front. The disparity in defensive organization quality and the ability to maintain a continuous attacking rhythm between the two teams creates a clear tactical advantage for Helsinki, even though TPS Turku still retains the ability to cause surprise through quick counter-attacks shaped by speed and individual technique.
Prediction for the match between HJK Helsinki and TPS Turku is 3-1.
Expert Prediction:
HJK Helsinki-1.00 @1.86



























