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Prediction Burnley - Middlesbrough today 02:00 03/09/2026.

English Football League Championship
Burnley

Burnley

10:11FT
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

HDP FT
Burnley
Middlesbro...
Opening
-0.25
+0.25
Pre-match
0
0
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2.25
u
Pre-match
2.5
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

BurnleyBurnley
Positive20%
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Burnley is maintaining a stable squad with key players such as Max Weiß, Kyle Walker, Aaron Ramsey, and Jacob Bruun Larsen, who have been playing regularly in recent matches.
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Despite not winning, Burnley averages 4.33 goals per game (highest in the league), demonstrating that their attacking potential remains, with Zian Flemming, a forward who scored 2 goals in his last 2 matches.
Neutral30%
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Burnley has consistently used the 4-2-3-1 formation in their last three matches, demonstrating tactical consistency, although they have not shown flexibility in adjustments when facing different formations.
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Burnley has a 100% "both teams to score" rate in matches, showing an open playing style but an inability to maintain control after scoring, leading to many draws or comebacks.
Negative50%
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Burnley has experienced 10 consecutive games without a win, with the result sequence D-L-L-D-L-D-D-L-D-L, indicating a serious instability in form.
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Burnley's defense conceded 20 goals in 10 matches (an average of 2 goals per match), including 3 heavy defeats (1-4, 1-3, 1-4), showing weak defensive capability and lack of focus.
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Burnley received 9 yellow cards and 1 red card in 10 matches, reflecting poor match discipline, directly affecting the playing style and match outcomes.
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Burnley is in 22nd place in the league table with just 1 point after 3 games, with a goal difference of -5 (scored 4, conceded 9), showing that the situation is on the brink of danger.
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Many key players such as Jordan Beyer, Ashley Barnes, Enock Agyei, and Josh Cullen have been injured, severely weakening both defensively and offensively, forcing the team to rely on lower-performing substitutes.
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Positive40%
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Middlesbrough demonstrated impressive attacking strength with a goal-scoring rate of 1.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches, a 70% rate of matches with three or more goals, and an 80% BTTS (both teams to score) rate, showing their ability to create chances and maintain open play.
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Middlesbrough's starting lineup is stable with regularly featured players such as Luke Ayling, Callum Brittain, and Morgan Whittaker, helping maintain cohesion and control in the match
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In the latest match, Middlesbrough had consecutive wins against Wrexham and Southampton, showing a quick recovery from the loss and the ability to dominate when playing away
Neutral30%
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Middlesbrough's performance in their last 10 matches has been relatively balanced, with win, draw, and loss rates each at 40%, 20%, and 40%, reflecting a lack of stability, though not overly severe.
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Middlesbrough's goal difference in the current season is +2 (6 goals scored, 4 goals conceded), reflecting the balance between attack and defense, despite not keeping a clean sheet
Negative30%
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Middlesbrough's defense lacks concentration, conceding 15 goals (1.5 per game) in their last 10 matches, with only one clean sheet, highlighting defensive instability.
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Middlesbrough received 10 yellow cards (no red cards) in 10 matches, with 2 matches having 2 yellow cards each, reflecting poor disciplinary conduct and a lack of emotional control in tense situations
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Inconsistent performance in important matches, especially when playing away, where Middlesbrough often suffers narrow losses (1-0 to Hull City, 2-1 to Blackburn) or makes comebacks (1-0 against Wrexham), highlights their limited composure.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Statistics

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Burnley is facing a significant personnel shortage, forcing them to switch to a 4-4-2 formation with a disconnected midfield and an easily breached defense, reflected in their low xG (0.95 per game) and weak defensive ability (9 goals conceded in 3 games). Meanwhile, Middlesbrough maintains a stable attacking performance (1.6 goals per game) thanks to their good chance conversion (1.0 goals per game in 6 wins), although their defense still has weaknesses (1.33 goals per game). Middlesbrough's tactical flexibility, despite a lack of consistency, allows them to adapt to various systems, while Burnley relies on a 4-2-3-1 formation but is weakened by injuries and the absence of key players. Both teams display defensive instability, but Middlesbrough has the advantage of experience in big competitions, while Burnley struggles with pressure from inconsistent performance and the absence of key personnel.
Prediction for the match between Burnley and Middlesbrough is 1-2.
Expert Prediction:
Middlesbrough0 @1.79

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