Prediction AFC Ajax - Willem II today 01:00 16/09/2026.

Ajax has been maintaining a stable performance with a 70% win rate in their last 10 matches, along with an impressive goal-scoring ability (an average of 3.1 goals per game), as demonstrated by decisive victories such as 5-3 against FC Sion and 5-1 against Sittard.

Ajax possesses a high-quality personnel framework, with key players such as Marc-André ter Stegen, Steven Berghuis, and Davy Klaassen who play consistently and effectively, playing a pivotal role in the team's style of play.

Ajax is ranked 5th in the Eredivisie 2026-2027 with 10 points from 5 matches, a goal difference of +8, indicating superior control of the game and currently being in the top 4 teams qualifying for the UEFA ECL qualifying playoffs.

Ajax tends to win or draw in balanced matches, but also recorded two draws (2-2 against Heerenveen, 2-2 against Shelbourne), indicating instability when facing stronger teams.

Ajax's open attacking style leads to a BTTS (Both Teams To Score) rate of 80% and 90% of matches having 3+ goals (Over 2.5), reflecting their playing style but also posing a risk of not keeping a clean sheet.

Ajax flexibly changes their tactical formation (4-3-3, 4-2-3-1, 4-4-1-1), but still mainly relies on 4-3-3 to control and attack directly, has not shown a clear diversity

Ajax's defensive capabilities still have weaknesses, with 15 goals conceded (an average of 1.5 goals per game) in the last 10 matches, only 2 clean sheets (CS), and 80% of matches had both teams scoring (BTTS).

Ajax lacks match discipline, with 20 yellow cards in 10 matches (no red cards), especially when facing teams like Sittard (5 yellow cards) and PSV Eindhoven (3 yellow cards).

The absence of three key players (Daley Blind, Rayane Bounida, Simon Adingra) may weaken the cohesion between lines and the ability to control the ball, while the substitute options from less experienced players are insufficient to maintain stable performance.

Willem II is demonstrating stable attacking performance with an average of 2.2 goals per game, indicating that Willem II can create numerous opportunities and score effectively in matches.

Some key players such as Nathan Tjoe-A-On (defender, 424 minutes played) and Devin Haen (striker, 450 minutes played) are maintaining good form, playing an important role in both defense and attack.

Willem II has flexibility in adjusting their tactical formations, using formations such as 4-2-3-1, 4-4-1-1, and 4-4-2 in recent matches, demonstrating the coach's ability to adapt to each opponent.

Willem II has an 80% win rate for matches with 3 or more goals (Over 2.5), reflecting an open playing style and effective counter-attacking ability, although it is neither a standout nor a weak factor.

Willem II is going through an extremely unstable performance period with 4 heavy losses (0-3, 1-4, 0-11, 1-2) in their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of focus and weakness in both attack and defense

Willem II's defensive performance is very poor, with an average of 1.9 goals conceded per game and only keeping a clean sheet in 2 matches (20% of total matches), placing Willem II in serious danger of relegation with 3 losses in 5 matches in the Eredivisie 2026-2027 season.

The lineup lacks balance, being overly reliant on the starting players (only six players have played over 400 minutes), while substitutes such as Alessandro Ciranni and Jens Mathijsen lack the quality to make a difference when needed.