Prediction AC Milan - Benfica today 02:00 17/09/2026.

UEFA Europa League
AC Milan

AC Milan

00:12FT
Benfica

Benfica

HDP FT
AC Milan
Benfica
Opening
-0.5
+0.5
Pre-match
0
0
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2.75
u
Pre-match
2.5
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

AC MilanAC Milan
Positive40%
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AC Milan has demonstrated stable attacking strength with an average goal-scoring rate of 1.7 goals per match, particularly with victories against average opponents such as Venezia (2-0), Torino (2-1), and Genoa (2-1)
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AC Milan maintained points in matches against strong opponents such as Lazio (2-2), Juventus (1-1), and Inter Milan (1-1), demonstrating their ability to stay balanced against direct rivals.
Neutral20%
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Overall performance of AC Milan in the last 10 games is average, with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, showing a lack of stability but still maintaining fighting spirit.
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There is no specific data available on the UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 rankings, so it is not yet possible to accurately assess AC Milan's position or motivation in the competition.
Negative40%
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AC Milan's defense is a major weakness, having conceded 15 goals in 10 matches (an average of 1.5 goals per game), including two heavy defeats against Chelsea (0-3) and Cagliari (1-2), highlighting a lack of focus and vulnerability to counterattacks.
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The average number of yellow cards is 1.6 per game, particularly in matches against Lazio (3 cards), Juventus (3 cards), and Cagliari (2 cards), reflecting the lack of discipline and conflicts among players on the field.
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Rafael Leao's absence (muscle injury) disrupted the preferred 3-4-2-1 tactical setup, causing difficulties for the attacking line without the player's explosiveness
BenficaBenfica
Positive50%
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Benfica is experiencing a successful period with a streak of 8 wins and 2 draws in their last 10 matches, demonstrating exceptional stability with an 80% win rate and impressive goal-scoring performance (an average of 3.4 goals per game).
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Benfica's defensive capability is highly regarded with only 8 goals conceded (an average of 0.8 goals per game), maintaining a large margin in their losses (for example: 3-1 against Gil Vicente)
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Key players such as Clément Lenglet, Rafa Silva, Vangelis Pavlidis, and Heorhii Sudakov played stably, directly contributing to the victory and controlling the match.
Neutral20%
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The 4-2-3-1 tactical formation has been consistently used in the last four matches; however, it lacks versatility when facing teams with tight defensive or quick counter-attack styles.
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Benfica has not had any matches recorded within the framework of the UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, and therefore cannot be specifically evaluated on their form or performance in this competition.
Negative30%
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The injury of goalkeeper Samuel Soares (absent for 14 matches) has created a serious gap in the goalkeeping position, with the backup option Anatoliy Trubin lacking sufficient experience and form.
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Reserve and rotation players are not strong enough to compensate for the absence of key players, especially when facing strong teams or playing away.
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Over-reliance on the spine of the squad has made Benfica vulnerable if these players suffer injuries or perform inconsistently.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

AC Milan and Benfica both have clear strengths and weaknesses: sharp attacking but unstable defense, leading the match to likely end in a draw.
Prediction for the match between AC Milan and Benfica is 1-1.
Expert Prediction:
Benfica+0.25 @2.02