Prediction Vitoria Guimaraes - Nacional da Madeira today 21:30 23/08/2026.

Portuguese Primera Liga
Vitoria Guimaraes

Vitoria Guimaraes

11:00FT
Nacional da Madeira

Nacional da Madeira

HDP FT
Vitoria Gu...
Nacional d...
Opening
-0.5
+0.5
Pre-match
-0.25
+0.25
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2.5
u
Pre-match
1.75
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

Vitoria GuimaraesVitoria Guimaraes
Positive40%
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Vitoria Guimaraes demonstrated consistent scoring ability, with 19 goals in their last 10 matches, including emphatic victories such as a 5-0 win over Penafiel and a 3-1 victory against FC Felgueiras, highlighting their effectiveness in capitalizing on opportunities.
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The current starting lineup is stable with key players such as Oliwier Zych (goalkeeper), Óscar Rivas and Balieiro Thiago (defenders), along with Alioune Ndoye and Gustavo Silva (forwards), who are all maintaining good form and making significant contributions in matches.
Neutral30%
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Vitoria Guimaraes' overall performance has been average, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last 10 matches, showing instability but still maintaining competitiveness.
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The 4-2-3-1 tactical formation is consistently maintained, ensuring a consistent playing style; however, it lacks flexibility when facing strong opponents.
Negative30%
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Vitoria Guimaraes has faced difficulties in defense, especially when facing stronger teams, as evidenced by three recent losses (3-2 to Sporting CP, 0-1 to FC Arouca, 0-2 to Nacional da Madeira), highlighting a lack of consistency
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The absence of Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva (central midfielder) due to injury caused the midfield to lack creativity and ball control, forcing the team to adjust their tactical formation and creating instability in their play style.
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Vitoria Guimaraes received a total of 12 yellow cards in their last 10 matches, indicating uncontrolled behavior during matches, especially in tense matches, affecting their ability to maintain tactics.
Nacional da MadeiraNacional da Madeira
Positive40%
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Nacional da Madeira is showing an impressive start to the season with 1 win and 1 draw in two matches, helping the team maintain 5th place on the Portuguese Primera Liga 2026-2027 standings.
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Nacional da Madeira maintains a goal difference of +2 (scored 4 goals, conceded 2 goals), showing a balance between attack and defense.
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Aggressive attacking style with an average goal-scoring rate of 3 goals per game, proven by the superior Over (Tài) indicator, particularly >0.5 goals (100%) and >1.5 goals (100%)
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Goalkeeper Renato Marin kept a clean sheet in a match, demonstrating stability and reliability within the goal.
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A stable personnel framework with key players such as Léo Santos, Zé Vitor, and Renato Marin who have been playing consistently throughout, creating cohesion and experience within the team lineup
Neutral30%
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Nacional da Madeira is maintaining the 5th position on the ranking, reflecting initial stability but not enough to establish a strong position.
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Nacional da Madeira flexibly applies tactical formations (3-4-2-1 and 3-4-3) depending on the opponent, showing adaptability and versatility in their playing style
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The clean sheet percentage (CS) reached 50% after two matches, showing progress in defense but there is still room for improvement.
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The Both Teams to Score (BTS) index reaching 50% shows that the team not only relies on defensive play but also knows how to create dangerous opportunities for the opponent.
Negative30%
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Nacional da Madeira has experienced an inconsistent run in their last 10 matches, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses (win rate: 20%), indicating a lack of stability in their form
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The defensive performance still has many weaknesses, with 13 goals conceded (an average of 1.3 per game) and 3 clean sheets in 10 games, reflecting a lack of concentration and frequent mistakes
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Nacional da Madeira received 12 yellow cards (an average of 1.2 per game), indicating poor match discipline and a tendency to commit many fouls, especially in international friendlies
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Miguel Baeza's injury, a key central player, has greatly affected the team's ability to control the ball and create chances, forcing the team to reduce attack intensity and prioritize defense
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The goalless loss rate (GLR) is 0% after two matches, indicating the team has not faced difficulties in maintaining an active position, but also reflects that the ability to control the match is not strong enough to create a safe margin.
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Vitoria Guimaraes demonstrates an open attacking style with strong ball control and the ability to create clear opportunities, however, the absence of Amorim Silva may weaken their ability to maintain control in the midfield area. Meanwhile, Nacional da Madeira faces a major challenge in defense due to the lack of an effective replacement for Baeza, leaving gaps for opponents to exploit. Both teams tend to be proactive in shooting situations, but Vitoria Guimaraes is favored for their defensive organization and ability to convert chances into goals. However, Nacional da Madeira may cause a surprise with their fluid counter-attacking style and focus in specific situations. The match promises to be intense with tactical balance between both sides, where the effectiveness of each system will determine the final outcome.
Prediction for the match between Vitoria Guimaraes and Nacional da Madeira is 2-1.
Expert Prediction:
Vitoria Guimaraes-0.75 @1.90
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