Prediction V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima today 17:00 21/10/2026.

Japanese J1 League
V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

42:00FT
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

HDP FT
V-Varen Na...
Sanfrecce ...
Opening
+1.25
-1.25
Pre-match
+1.25
-1.25
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
3
u
Pre-match
3
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

V-Varen NagasakiV-Varen Nagasaki
Positive30%
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V-Varen Nagasaki has a stable starting lineup with consistent regulars such as goalkeeper Masaaki Goto, defenders Ryosuke Shindo, Hijiri Onaga, Yusei Egawa, midfielders Motoki Hasegawa, Hotaru Yamaguchi, Matheus Jesus, and forwards Thiago Santana and Yuto Iwasaki. These players create consistency in the team's playing style and form an important foundation for V-Varen Nagasaki.
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Thiago Santana is the main striker with 12 shots on target and 3 goals, demonstrating reliable scoring ability in recent matches.
Neutral20%
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V-Varen Nagasaki has played using the fixed 3-4-2-1 formation in 7 out of 10 recent matches, creating consistency in their playstyle but has not demonstrated flexibility when facing stronger teams.
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V-Varen Nagasaki is currently ranked 15th in the J1 League standings with 9 points after 10 matches, the average points reflecting the team's average position in the season.
Negative50%
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V-Varen Nagasaki is going through an unstable period with a win rate of only 20%, losing 5 matches and drawing 3 matches in their last 10 games. A mixed sequence of wins, draws, and losses indicates inconsistency in form.
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Poor defensive performance with 16 goals conceded (1.6 per game), including 5 losses with 2 or more goals. Clean sheet capability was achieved only 2 times, both were wins, indicating dependence on the ability to control the game.
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The high number of yellow cards (16 cards) reflects a lack of discipline in play, especially in heavy losses such as against Kashima Antlers (0-2), Vissel Kobe (1-3), and FC Tokyo (0-3).
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Low goal-scoring efficiency (9 goals in 10 matches) and poor set-piece conversion (an average of 4.6 per game but no goals scored from these situations) are major weaknesses of V-Varen Nagasaki.
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Positive60%
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima is currently experiencing a successful phase with 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 10 matches, demonstrating superior stability and the ability to maintain a high level of performance.
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored 24 goals in 10 matches (an average of 2.4 goals per match) and conceded only 4 goals (an average of 0.4 goals per match), demonstrating an impressive goal-scoring performance and a disciplined defense, keeping a clean sheet in 80% of matches.
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The stable personnel framework with key players such as Shuto Nakano, Akito Suzuki, and Mutsuki Kato maintains a high level of performance, while the defense line demonstrates strong cohesion and effective control of the match.
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima is leading the Japanese J1 League 2026-2027 table with 23 points from 10 matches, a significant goal difference of +19, demonstrating their overall strength and ability to compete for the title.
Neutral25%
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima has 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 10 matches, showing balance in matches against strong opponents, but also reflecting their susceptibility to disruption in difficult matches.
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The rate at which both teams score (BTTS) only reaches 20%, indicating defensive stability but possibly not creating many opportunities for the opponent, which may be considered a limitation in some matches.
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The 3-4-2-1 tactical formation has been consistently maintained in 7 out of 10 recent matches, demonstrating stability but may also be seen as lacking flexibility when facing teams with different playing styles.
Negative15%
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima has suffered a heavy defeat (2-3 vs Fagiano Okayama) and a draw (0-0 vs Gamba Osaka), indicating instability when facing opponents with tight defensive play or effective counter-attacking strategies.
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The absence of key player Taichi Yamasaki due to injury (jumpers knee) has affected the defense, although Sho Sasaki's replacement has maintained a certain level of stability, it hasn't reached the high standard of Yamasaki.
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The ratio of matches with three or more goals (Over 2.5) only reaches 50%, indicating a limited ability to create open matches, which may reduce the appeal in some games
Player Info

Injured

Doubtful

Suspended

National duty

Other

Sanfrecce Hiroshima will secure a narrow victory thanks to their sharpness in converting opportunities and ability to dominate the game, while V-Varen Nagasaki continues to display instability, waste chances, and lack depth in the squad, resulting in a balanced but slightly favorable game for the stronger team.
Prediction for the match between V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 0-1.
Expert Prediction:
Under3.00 @1.94
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