São Paulo - SPPositive40%
São Paulo - SP has a stable squad structure with key players such as Jonathan Calleri (10 goals), Luciano (9 goals), Danielzinho (1 goal, 1 assist), and Lucas Ramon (2 assists, 98 successful duels) who have consistently and effectively played in the last 10 matches.
The average goal-scoring rate is 2.33 goals per game, indicating strong attacking ability and the ability to create opportunities from familiar positions such as corners (average 7.1 per game)
Neutral30%
São Paulo - SP is currently ranked 10th in the Brazilian Serie A 2026 table with 39 points after 30 matches, indicating an average position and no clear signs of superiority over competitors.
Flexible tactics using multiple formations (3-4-2-1, 3-4-1-2, 4-2-3-1) help São Paulo - SP adapt to each opponent, however, the lack of stability in formations such as 3-4-3 can affect defensive effectiveness
Negative30%
Recent form of São Paulo - SP has been unstable with a result sequence of L-W-W-L-L-D-W-L-L-W, showing a strong dependence on the outcome of each specific match and a lack of consistency.
Weak defensive ability with 35 goals conceded in 30 matches (an average of 1.1 per game), including two heavy defeats (0-2 vs Palmeiras - SP, 0-1 vs Chapecoense - SC) and keeping a clean sheet in only 20% of matches
The absence of key players like Lucas Moura (Achilles injury, 23 matches missed) and Domingos Duarte (jumper's knee injury, 1 match missed) has left São Paulo - SP lacking depth and easily vulnerable to the opposing team's tight defense.
Vasco da Gama Saf - RJPositive50%
Vasco da Gama is experiencing a stable performance streak with a high win rate, achieving 70% in the last 10 matches, including emphatic victories such as 5-0 against Coritiba and 3-1 against Cruzeiro, demonstrating formidable attacking strength.
Vasco da Gama has an impressive goal-scoring rate of 1.7 goals per game, while maintaining a disciplined defense, conceding only 0.4 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 6 out of 10 games, demonstrating a balance between attack and defense.
The "spine" group, including Léo Jardim, Thiago Mendes, Robert Renan, Andrés Gómez, and David Correia da Fonseca, plays stably, ensuring continuity in important matches.
Neutral25%
Vasco da Gama is in 14th place in the Brazilian league standings with 35 points from 29 matches, showing that Vasco da Gama still has a large gap compared to the leading teams, but is not in the danger zone.
The goalless loss rate (LTN) reached 24.14% during the season, indicating a lack of focus in defensive plays, but not sufficient to be considered a serious negative factor.
Negative25%
Vasco da Gama received 19 yellow cards and 1 red card in their last 10 matches, indicating poor emotional control and lack of discipline in matches, especially against strong opponents such as Boca Juniors and Grêmio.
Vasco da Gama has an unstable defensive performance, conceding 4 goals in 10 matches and keeping a clean sheet in 4 matches, with the sole loss to Fluminense (0-1) highlighting the laxity in certain defensive situations.
The both teams scoring rate (BTS) reached 62.07%, but combined with 31.03% of matches without any goals (FTS), indicating a lack of coordination between the lines and poor ability to convert chances into goals.
Injured
Doubtful
Suspended
National duty
Other
Both São Paulo - SP and Vasco da Gama possess a strong foundation but have weak defense, inconsistent performance, and a history of intense confrontations, making the match likely to end in a draw.
Prediction for the match between São Paulo - SP and Vasco da Gama Saf - RJ is 1-1.
Expert Prediction:
Vasco da Gama+0.50 @1.79
































