Prediction São Paulo - SP - Vasco da Gama Saf - RJ today 07:00 18/10/2026.

Brazilian Serie A
São Paulo - SP

São Paulo - SP

10:00FT
Vasco da Gama Saf - RJ

Vasco da Gama Saf - RJ

HDP FT
São Paulo ...
Vasco da G...
Opening
-0.25
+0.25
Pre-match
0
0
O/U FT
Over
Under
Opening
2.25
u
Pre-match
2.25
u
1X2 FT
1
X
2
Opening
Pre-match

São Paulo - SPSão Paulo - SP
Positive40%
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São Paulo - SP has a stable squad structure with key players such as Jonathan Calleri (10 goals), Luciano (9 goals), Danielzinho (1 goal, 1 assist), and Lucas Ramon (2 assists, 98 successful duels) who have consistently and effectively played in the last 10 matches.
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The average goal-scoring rate is 2.33 goals per game, indicating strong attacking ability and the ability to create opportunities from familiar positions such as corners (average 7.1 per game)
Neutral30%
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São Paulo - SP is currently ranked 10th in the Brazilian Serie A 2026 table with 39 points after 30 matches, indicating an average position and no clear signs of superiority over competitors.
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Flexible tactics using multiple formations (3-4-2-1, 3-4-1-2, 4-2-3-1) help São Paulo - SP adapt to each opponent, however, the lack of stability in formations such as 3-4-3 can affect defensive effectiveness
Negative30%
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Recent form of São Paulo - SP has been unstable with a result sequence of L-W-W-L-L-D-W-L-L-W, showing a strong dependence on the outcome of each specific match and a lack of consistency.
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Weak defensive ability with 35 goals conceded in 30 matches (an average of 1.1 per game), including two heavy defeats (0-2 vs Palmeiras - SP, 0-1 vs Chapecoense - SC) and keeping a clean sheet in only 20% of matches
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The absence of key players like Lucas Moura (Achilles injury, 23 matches missed) and Domingos Duarte (jumper's knee injury, 1 match missed) has left São Paulo - SP lacking depth and easily vulnerable to the opposing team's tight defense.
Vasco da Gama Saf - RJVasco da Gama Saf - RJ
Positive50%
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Vasco da Gama is experiencing a stable performance streak with a high win rate, achieving 70% in the last 10 matches, including emphatic victories such as 5-0 against Coritiba and 3-1 against Cruzeiro, demonstrating formidable attacking strength.
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Vasco da Gama has an impressive goal-scoring rate of 1.7 goals per game, while maintaining a disciplined defense, conceding only 0.4 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 6 out of 10 games, demonstrating a balance between attack and defense.
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The "spine" group, including Léo Jardim, Thiago Mendes, Robert Renan, Andrés Gómez, and David Correia da Fonseca, plays stably, ensuring continuity in important matches.
Neutral25%
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Vasco da Gama is in 14th place in the Brazilian league standings with 35 points from 29 matches, showing that Vasco da Gama still has a large gap compared to the leading teams, but is not in the danger zone.
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The goalless loss rate (LTN) reached 24.14% during the season, indicating a lack of focus in defensive plays, but not sufficient to be considered a serious negative factor.
Negative25%
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Vasco da Gama received 19 yellow cards and 1 red card in their last 10 matches, indicating poor emotional control and lack of discipline in matches, especially against strong opponents such as Boca Juniors and Grêmio.
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Vasco da Gama has an unstable defensive performance, conceding 4 goals in 10 matches and keeping a clean sheet in 4 matches, with the sole loss to Fluminense (0-1) highlighting the laxity in certain defensive situations.
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The both teams scoring rate (BTS) reached 62.07%, but combined with 31.03% of matches without any goals (FTS), indicating a lack of coordination between the lines and poor ability to convert chances into goals.
Player Info

Injured

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National duty

Other

Both São Paulo - SP and Vasco da Gama possess a strong foundation but have weak defense, inconsistent performance, and a history of intense confrontations, making the match likely to end in a draw.
Prediction for the match between São Paulo - SP and Vasco da Gama Saf - RJ is 1-1.
Expert Prediction:
Vasco da Gama+0.50 @1.79
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