Prediction Bury - Harrogate Town today 18:30 17/10/2026.

Bury has shown impressive attacking performance with an average goal-scoring rate of 3.3 goals per game in their last 10 matches, including several dominant victories such as 7-0 against Ilkeston Town, 5-1 against Workington and 8-0 against Wythenshawe, demonstrating a strong ability to explode when facing weaker opponents.

Bury maintains a high win rate (60%) in this period, with three consecutive wins and one draw, demonstrating average-level stability in their playing style.

Bury has kept three clean sheets in their last 10 games, indicating that their defensive capabilities are not overly weak, but has also conceded 11 goals (an average of 1.1 per game), reflecting the inconsistency in their defensive performance.

The percentage of matches with 3 or more goals (Over 2.5) reaches 80%, indicating that Bury usually plays an open game and has the ability to control the match, but the percentage of both teams scoring (BTTS) is only at 50%, showing instability in intense matches.

Bury has faced instability in important matches, especially when playing away, such as losing 0-1 to Lancaster City and 1-2 to Hyde F.C., highlighting a lack of focus and tendency to make mistakes in decisive games.

Bury has 13 yellow cards in their last 10 matches (no red cards), showing a lack of emotional control and match discipline, particularly evident in the match against Alfreton Town (3 yellow cards)

Defensive performance has been inconsistent, conceding 11 goals (an average of 1.1 per game) and suffering two unexpected losses (0-1 and 1-2), highlighting a reliance on opponents in controlling the game flow and a lack of defensive stability.

Harrogate is showing stable performance with a high win rate (70%) in the last 10 games, including 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, indicating the ability to maintain good results when playing at a high level.

Harrogate has an impressive goal-scoring record with 19 goals (an average of 1.9 goals per game), including 2 matches with 4 goals and 3 matches winning by a margin (3-0, 3-1, 2-1), demonstrating their stable attacking strength.

The starting lineup (comprising goalkeeper Luke Hutchinson, defenders Grant Horton, Sam Dreyer, Archie Baptiste Chaplin, midfielders Lewis Cass, Morgan Williams, Ethan Bristow, Bailey Hobson) has maintained stability over the last 10 matches, creating cohesion and the ability to control the game.

Tactical flexibility in tactics is demonstrated through adjusting the formation from 3-4-1-2 to 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-3 when necessary, showing the ability to adapt to match situations

Harrogate's defensive performance is average, with 12 goals conceded (an average of 1.2 goals per game), although they managed 4 clean sheets, they also suffered heavy defeats (1-4, 1-2, 1-3) against stronger opponents.

The high number of yellow cards (19 cards, an average of 1.9 cards per game) indicates a lack of discipline in the match, but the absence of red cards means it's not yet sufficient to be considered a serious weakness.

The rotation in the attacking line with players such as Brad Dolaghan, Joshua Hmami, Shawn McCoulsky, Will McGowan indicates instability in personnel selection, but does not significantly affect the overall playing style.

Harrogate shows defensive instability when facing stronger teams, especially heavy defeats (1-4 against Boreham Wood, 1-2 against AFC Fylde, 1-3 against Aldershot Town), indicating significant weaknesses in their defense.

Thomas Bradbury's injury (absent from the last 25 games) affects the quality of the defense, especially when Harrogate switches to the 3-4-2-1 formation (which requires 3 center-backs), causing the defense to lack stability

A high number of yellow cards (19 cards) in the last 10 matches reflects a lack of discipline in duels, especially when under pressure, which could create risks in tense matches.

Reliance on a single tactical formation (3-4-1-2) in 6 out of 10 recent matches, despite flexible adjustments, has not been enough to create a significant difference when facing solid defensive formations.