Prediction 1. FC Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund today 20:30 17/10/2026.

Union Berlin demonstrates tactical flexibility by using various formations such as 4-2-3-1, 4-1-2-1-2, and 4-1-3-2, which shows the team's ability to adapt flexibly to different opponents.

In their last two matches, Union Berlin secured consecutive wins against Aris Limassol and Cagliari, demonstrating their recovery ability and creating positive momentum in their performance.

Union Berlin's squad is relatively stable with 6 out of 10 starting players having played at least 4 matches, which helps maintain consistency in their playing style.

The midfield features a diversified forward positioning to create effective ball rotation and control, especially the average of 22 times per game that defenders such as Leopold Querfeld (29 times) and Zeno Van Den Bosch (21 times) can relieve pressure.

Unstable performance in the last 10 matches with a win rate of only 40% (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), particularly three consecutive losses to strong Bundesliga teams such as Bayern Munich, Schalke 04, and Leverkusen (defeated by a large margin 7-0 and 4-0)

The defense faces many issues with 27 goals conceded (an average of 2.7 goals per game), with 80% of matches having three or more goals, indicating an open and proactive attacking style but a lack of defensive capability.

Poor match discipline with 17 yellow cards (an average of 1.7 per game), including 3 yellow cards in the 0-7 loss to Bayern Munich, reflecting a lack of focus and being overwhelmed by the opponent.

The league table currently places the team in 16th position with a goal difference of -12 (scored 5, conceded 17), indicating a significant decline in both defensive capabilities and attacking efficiency, placing Union Berlin at risk of having to participate in a relegation play-off.

Dortmund is showing very stable performance with 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 10 matches, along with a 70% win rate, indicating that Dortmund is in a strong upswing.

Dortmund scored 25 goals in 10 matches (an average of 2.5 goals per match) and had 4 clean sheets, reflecting sharp attacking prowess and solid defensive capabilities

Dortmund is ranked 2nd in the Bundesliga 2026-2027 table with 13 points, a goal difference of +7 (11 goals scored, 4 goals conceded), demonstrating consistent performance and the ability to maintain a lead over competitors.

The attacking line, with Serhou Guirassy standing out with 2 goals, 2 assists, and 8 shots on target, is a key pillar in the team's attacking play.

Dortmund has been using the 3-4-2-1 formation (4 matches) and 3-4-3 formation (1 match) in their last 10 matches, showing stability in tactics but no major changes to create a difference.

The ratio of matches with three or more goals (Over 2.5) reaches 80%, and the ratio of both teams scoring (BTTS) reaches 60%, reflecting a lively playing style but not a standout strength.

Dortmund has maintained a balance between attacking and defensive play, with a 60% clean sheet (CS) rate and a 40% both teams to score (BTS) rate, showing their ability to control the game without being overly reliant on one side.

Dortmund has 13 yellow cards and 2 red cards in their last 10 matches, reflecting a lack of discipline, especially in matches against Stuttgart (5 yellow cards) and Hamburg (1 red card)

Dortmund conceded 12 goals (an average of 1.2 goals per game), with two draws (2-2 against Werder Bremen and AS Roma) and a 1-2 defeat against Bayern Munich, highlighting a lack of concentration and defensive lapses when the opponent controlled the game.

The absence of key players such as Emre Can, Giannis Konstantelias, and Justin Lerma due to injuries could affect the team's midfield control, forcing Dortmund to adjust their tactics and enhance the role of substitute players.