今日 20/09/2026 01:00 阿贾克斯 - SBV精英 比赛预测。

Ajax is experiencing a period of strong performance with 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 10 games, demonstrating stability and superior control over matches.

Ajax scored 33 goals in 10 matches, averaging 3.3 goals per game, demonstrating impressive attacking performance, especially quick goals and sharp counterattacks.

Key players such as Steven Berghuis, Marc-André ter Stegen, Davy Klaassen, Julian Brandt, and Kasper Dolberg maintain stable performance, making significant contributions both offensively and defensively.

Ajax frequently controls the game, with 90% of matches having three or more goals, demonstrating an open style and the ability to create continuous scoring opportunities.

The percentage of matches where both teams score (BTTS) reaches 80%, showing that the playing style is not overly defensive or one-sided attacking, but also reflects the lack of stability in maintaining a clean sheet.

Ajax plays with tactical flexibility, ranging from 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1, demonstrating adaptability against different opponents, although 4-3-3 remains the primary formation.

The goal difference is 12 after 6 matches, showing a balance between the controlled style of play and the ability to capitalize on opportunities, even though there are no signs of being overly dominant or overly weak.

Ajax conceded 15 goals in 10 matches, an average of 1.5 goals per game, highlighting a weakness in their defensive capabilities, especially when facing strong teams or in away games.

A high number of yellow cards (20 cards in 10 matches, an average of 2 cards per match) reflects a lack of disciplinary conduct in matches, which could affect long-term tactics and the risk of suspension.

The absence of Daley Blind – the central defender in the 4-3-3 formation – causes a significant loss, forcing the team to rotate among inexperienced defenders and weakening defensive strength.

Although there were 2 clean sheets, the ability to keep a clean sheet was inconsistent, with only 20% of matches without conceding goals, indicating a lack of stability in crucial defensive situations.

Excelsior has been showing consistent performance with a high win rate (70%) in the last 10 matches, evidenced by 7 wins and only 2 losses against strong opponents such as Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven

Excelsior scored 28 goals in 10 matches (an average of 2.8 goals per game), demonstrating sharp and effective attacking ability, with standout contributions from players such as Irakli Yegoian (2 goals, 4 assists) and David Garden (3 goals, 9 clearances).

6th position in the Eredivisie for the 2026-2027 season with 10 points from 6 matches, reflecting effective competition in the standings and maintaining stable motivation in the competition.

The 'backbone' group consisting of goalkeeper Stijn van Gassel, defender Rick Meissen, midfielder Irakli Yegoian, and forward David Garden are continuously playing, creating stability in the playing style and match performance.

Excelsior has a 90% rate of matches with 3 or more goals (Over 2.5), showing an open attacking style but also potential risks in defensive ability.

The percentage of both teams scoring (BTTS) reached 70%, reflecting good game control but also showing dependence on the opponent's counter-attack ability.

The average score ratio (1.67 points per game) after 6 matches shows a balance between wins, draws, and losses, but is not sufficient to demonstrate a clear dominance.

The 4-3-3 formation is widely used (30% of matches) but has not created a clear tactical change in important matches.

Excelsior's defensive capabilities still have weaknesses, conceding 12 goals in 10 matches (an average of 1.2 goals per game), especially when facing top teams like Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven.

Excelsior received 9 yellow cards in 10 matches, showing a lack of discipline and a tendency to lose emotional control in intense match situations

The goal difference of +6 after 6 matches (13 goals scored, 7 goals conceded) highlights the unstable imbalance between attacking and defensive capabilities, especially when facing opponents who employ a counter-attacking style.

Although Miliano Jonathans is not in the list of the last 10 matches, his absence could affect the diversity in attacking options if he is an important substitute.