今日 02/09/2026 17:00 水户蜀葵 - 鹿岛鹿角 比赛预测。

日本职业足球甲级联赛(J1)
水户蜀葵

水户蜀葵

42:02完场
鹿岛鹿角

鹿岛鹿角

全场让球
水户蜀葵
鹿岛鹿角
初盘
+0.5
-0.5
赛前
0
0
全场大小球
大
小
初盘
2.25
u
赛前
6.5
u
全场胜平负
胜
平
负
初盘
赛前

水户蜀葵水户蜀葵
积极30%
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Mito Hollyhock has a stable starting lineup with 9 players who have started every game in the last 4 matches, bringing consistency in play and the ability to control the match
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The average goal rate is 2.75 goals per game, combined with the ability to create a scenario where both teams score (BTS) at 100%, demonstrating an open and effective attacking style
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Central midfielders such as Taishi Semba (13 tackles, 21 successful duels) and Yoshiki Torikai (10 successful duels) played an important role in controlling the game's tempo and creating opportunities for the attack.
中立20%
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Mito Hollyhock is ranked 11th in the J1 League 2026-2027 after 4 matches, with a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, indicating a stable position but not showing strong breakthrough performance.
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The usage rate of the 4-4-2 formation accounts for 75% of the games, showing stability in tactics but lacking adaptability when facing Mito Hollyhock with a different playing style
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The reserve team is rarely used, reflecting reliance on the starting lineup, but does not pose a major obstacle as reserve players like Chihiro Kato and Kaito Taniguchi are still capable of substituting when necessary
消极50%
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Mito Hollyhock is going through a serious crisis with 7 losses in their last 10 matches, including several heavy defeats such as 0-2 against Kyoto Sangyo University and 1-4 against Urawa Red Diamonds, showing a lack of confidence and inefficiency in their performance.
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The defense has conceded 17 goals in 10 matches (1.7 goals per game), has not kept a clean sheet in any match, while also lacking focus in defensive situations towards the end of matches.
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The win rate is only 10% (1 win out of 10 games), combined with 7 consecutive losses, indicating instability and inadequate potential for improvement.
鹿岛鹿角鹿岛鹿角
积极55%
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Kashima Antlers are in excellent form with a high win rate (90%) in their last 10 matches, scoring 24 goals (an average of 2.4 goals per game) and keeping a clean sheet in 6 games, demonstrating stability and impressive attacking performance.
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Kashima Antlers is ranked 2nd on the table with 12 points after 4 matches, maintaining a 4-match winning streak, reflecting stable performance and strong motivation.
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Key players such as Léo Ceará (scored 6 goals) and Rikuto Hirose (consistent performance in defense) are maintaining high form and playing a key role in the team's style of play.
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Kashima Antlers have an average of 3.8 corners per game, demonstrating their ability to control the game and put pressure on the opposing defense
中立30%
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Although the overall performance is good, Kashima Antlers only have a 25% clean sheet (CS) rate, indicating that there are still gaps in their defensive capability, especially when facing strong teams.
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The attacking style is effective but also leads to receiving 15 yellow cards (an average of 1.5 per game), reflecting intense but not overly chaotic play.
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The current team strength still relies heavily on the main players, while the backup players have not shown stability or significant influence on the playing style.
消极15%
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The 0-5 defeat against Vissel Kobe is a significant weakness, revealing a lack of focus and defensive lapses when facing a strong opponent
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The absence of Yuta Higuchi (midfielder) and Koki Anzai (defender) could create a gap in the team's play, particularly in the midfield and defense areas.
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Despite impressive goal-scoring efficiency, the 'Over' (Over) ratio at the >3.5 goals per game mark only reaches 50%, indicating that the ability to control the match may be affected by clean sheets.
球员信息

伤病

出战成疑

停赛

国家队征召

其他

Kashima Antlers demonstrate a clear tactical advantage due to a balanced system between domestic and foreign players, along with superior ball control (64%), while Mito Hollyhock face significant challenges from a weak defense (average 2 shots on target per game) and lack of depth (only 1 domestic player in 36 players). Although Mito has a history of upsets in head-to-head encounters, their poor form (7 consecutive losses) and lack of cohesion in defensive organization make it difficult for them to maintain the ability to withstand continuous pressure from Kashima. Kashima Antlers are expected to adopt a 4-4-2 formation with flexibility from the foreign players, while Mito are forced to rely on quick but ineffective counterattacks against the opposing goal. However, Kashima's ability to control the game and their stable match experience remain the decisive factors, despite the potential risk if they are careless in defensive situations.
Prediction for the match between Mito Hollyhock and Kashima Antlers is 0-5.
专家预测:
Kashima Antlers-0.50 @2.05