今日 01/11/2026 03:00 阿贾克斯 - 阿尔克马尔 比赛预测。

荷兰甲级联赛
阿贾克斯

阿贾克斯

11:00完场
阿尔克马尔

阿尔克马尔

全场让球
阿贾克斯
阿尔克马尔
初盘
-0.5
+0.5
赛前
-0.5
+0.5
全场大小球
大
小
初盘
3.5
u
赛前
3.25
u
全场胜平负
胜
平
负
初盘
赛前

阿贾克斯阿贾克斯
积极35%
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Ajax possesses formidable attacking power, demonstrated by an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 10 matches.
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Ajax is an overwhelming attacking force with 29 goals scored and a goal difference of +16 in the tournament.
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Ajax's attacking ability was confirmed by large-margin victories, notably the 5-1 win against Willem II and 4-0 against SC Telstar.
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In terms of personnel, Ajax has a trio of central midfielders—Julian Brandt, Oscar Gloukh, and Jorthy Mokio—who serve as the creative engines and the core backbone of the team.
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Ajax demonstrated relatively high stability throughout the tournament campaign, achieving a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss after 10 rounds.
中立35%
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Ajax frequently controls the match and exerts continuous pressure, demonstrated by the team's average of 6.3 corner kicks per game.
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Tactically, Ajax has shown a very clear and stable preference for the 4-3-3 formation in most of their recent matches.
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Ajax has an 80.00% match rate of having at least three goals, indicating that the team is always involved in open and dramatic encounters.
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The Both Teams To Score (BTS) rate of 80.00% suggests that Ajax frequently faces opponents with formidable scoring ability.
消极30%
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Ajax is highly volatile. While they deliver explosive performances, their defensive line shows clear signs of instability.
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Despite having a strong scoring ability, Ajax has a very low clean sheet rate, reaching only 20.00%, and frequently conceding goals to opponents even when they themselves scored multiple goals.
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Ajax suffered a 2-1 defeat against Hajduk Split and ended the run with a 1-1 draw against Nijmegen, showing vulnerability when failing to maintain a high tempo.
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Ajax is suffering significant squad losses after losing key attacking pillars like Steven Berghuis and Kasper Dolberg, which has considerably reduced their firepower and ability to exert direct pressure.
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The absence of key defenders such as Anton Gaaei and Caio Henrique means that Ajax's defensive system is not only lacking in quality but also lacks coordinated synergy.
阿尔克马尔阿尔克马尔
积极35%
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Alkmaar possesses significant attacking strength, demonstrated by an impressive average of 3.2 goals per match.
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The team displayed remarkable explosive capability when playing at home, demonstrated by a convincing victory over rivals Go Ahead.
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Alkmaar's strength comes from the stability and solidity of the defensive unit and midfield, anchored by stalwarts such as Elijah Dijkstra, Lewis Schouten, Mateo Chávez, and Peer Koopmeiners.
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Mateo Chávez is a standout defensive player, with superior stats including 28 tackles and 13 interceptions.
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Alkmaar maintains a high rate of matches with at least 2 goals (Over 2.5), indicating a strong ability to create scoring opportunities.
中立30%
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Alkmaar operates with a relatively fixed tactical system, the 4-2-3-1 formation, which helps the team effectively control the tempo and the central midfield.
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Statistically, Alkmaar participates in open and dramatic encounters, with a Both Teams To Score (BTTS) rate of 50%.
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In terms of discipline, a total of 17 yellow cards in 10 matches is an acceptable level, suggesting that the team still maintains physical control in confrontations.
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Alkmaar maintains a 40% rate of matches with at least 2 goals (Over 2.5), suggesting continuous attacking ability.
消极35%
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Alkmaar's overall form is showing strong fluctuation and instability, particularly the decline in average points per match in recent games.
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Alkmaar's biggest weakness lies in their defense, with a clean sheet rate of only 30% in the analyzed matches.
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Alkmaar is having difficulty maintaining peak form at home, evidenced by two consecutive losses in recent trips.
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The absence of key strikers like Jizz Hornkamp and creative midfielders like Kees Smit is causing significant gaps in Alkmaar's attacking area and creative passing ability.
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Conceding many goals shows that Alkmaar's defense is vulnerable to opponents capable of counter-attacking or launching full-scale attacks.
球员信息

伤病

出战成疑

停赛

国家队征召

其他

Ajax's attacking strength will create many opportunities, but their shaky defense and patchy squad will be exploited by Alkmaar. This encounter is predicted to be a hard-fought battle, unlikely to have a clear winner, and highly likely to end in a draw.
Prediction for the match between AFC Ajax and AZ Alkmaar is 1-1.
专家预测:
小3.50 @1.84